The most reliable hurricane models, based on their 2021 performance

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Langdon
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webguy
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The most reliable hurricane models, based on their 2021 performance

And why you should ignore them all in favor of the National Hurricane Center forecast

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2022/06/the-most-reliable-hurricane-models-based-on-their-2021-performance/

"For those puzzling over the various hurricane computer forecast models to figure out which one to believe, the best answer is: Don’t believe any of them. Put your trust in the National Hurricane Center, or NHC, forecast.

Although an individual model may outperform the official NHC forecast in some situations, the 2021 National Hurricane Center Forecast Verification Report documents that overall, it is very difficult for any one model to consistently beat the NHC forecasts for track and for intensity."

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Joined: 12/23/2003 - 23:07
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Re: The most reliable hurricane models, based on their 2021...

Good to know, especially for future trips to the coast.

Barrett

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