Tropics 2020

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Re: Tropics 2020

An informed opinion: https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/08/hurricane-laura-intensifies-catastrophic-wind-and-storm-surge-expected/

The cat 4 forecast mentioned above by Chris still seems on target. I remember when this was just a wave coming off Africa . Everyone was worrying just about this scenario: warm waters of the Gulf plus a low shear environment.

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Re: Tropics 2020

Already tornado warnings in the outer bands. This one has got some juice. Shok

If they ask me, I'll say tow a bunch of icebergs to the US and bust them up in front of the approaching hurricane to reduce the sea surface temperature. Or, send a couple thousand ships out in front of the storm and pump cold water to the surface from below. If it costs 10B, it still saves billions (and a heap of misery).

You're welcome. Good

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Re: Tropics 2020
FoilDodo wrote:

Already tornado warnings in the outer bands. This one has got some juice. Shok

If they ask me, I'll say tow a bunch of icebergs to the US and bust them up in front of the approaching hurricane to reduce the sea surface temperature. Or, send a couple thousand ships out in front of the storm and pump cold water to the surface from below. If it costs 10B, it still saves billions (and a heap of misery).

You're welcome. Good

In these Uncertain™ times, you have to get creative. Run a pipeline from Lake Superior to the Gulf Coast. It's north/south so it runs down hill. You won't even need pumps. Next, have every seaside town required to have dozens, nay, hundreds of these little guys installed on the water front. Open the valve in Duluth, MN and your troubles are over, my good friend.

IMAGE(<a href="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/64/Bruxelles_Manneken_Pis.jpg/300px-Bruxelles_Manneken_Pis.jpg" rel="nofollow">https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/64/Bruxelles_Manneken_Pis.jpg/300px-Bruxelles_Manneken_Pis.jpg</a>)

Bonus: These classic statues bring in a touch of class and history. With the increased tourisim alone it should pay for itself.
Double bonus. Bring in polar bears to the now cold water to feed on the sharks. Less sharks = more tourists. If you get too many tourists, the polar bears will help keep that population down, too.

IMAGE(<a href="https://media.giphy.com/media/W3a0zO282fuBpsqqyD/giphy.gif" rel="nofollow">https://media.giphy.com/media/W3a0zO282fuBpsqqyD/giphy.gif</a>)

--- The Arrogant Jerk: Crabby and irritable since 1998.

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Re: Tropics 2020
Quote:
...a couple thousand ships out in front of the storm and pump cold water to the surface from below

Like Cold Fusion, it could work. Good

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Re: Tropics 2020
FoilDodo wrote:
Quote: ...a couple thousand ships out in front of the storm and pump cold water to the surface from below

Like Cold Fusion, it could work. Good

Foildood, I haven't appreciated enough your desire to help in any way possible and prevent someone's suffering. You are a good man, sir.
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Re: Tropics 2020

When one member of an ensemble run looks like my golf shots.

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Re: Tropics 2020

Cape Verde train warming up...

IMAGE(<a href="https://yaleclimateconnections.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/0920_hazelton-sep3-tweet.jpg" rel="nofollow">https://yaleclimateconnections.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/0920_hazelton-sep3-tweet.jpg</a>)

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Re: Tropics 2020

At this point Mother Nature is just flexing

Tropical Storms Paulette and Rene could be joined by Sally and Teddy this week

Not even early/mid-Sept and we are almost up to a T storm. From an earlier blog prior to Paulette making the grade: The earliest sixteenth named storm on record for the Atlantic is (was) Philippe from September 17, 2005.

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Re: Tropics 2020

Staying busy. Eek.

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Re: Tropics 2020

NWS has recently said that we are entering a mild La Nina pattern for the next few months. It tends to worsen tropical weather and looks like we might have a milder than normal winter

IMAGE(<a href="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EhmGvvXUcAAVGQF?format=jpg&name=medium" rel="nofollow">https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EhmGvvXUcAAVGQF?format=jpg&name=medium</a>)

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Re: Tropics 2020
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Langdon
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Re: Tropics 2020

Weather Cat (NWS) may miss on our forecast for Delta. Lately Weather Cat has incorrectly forecast our East winds.
There are large differences in what wind we will have for Friday and Saturday depending on the path.
I do hope for some foiling either Friday afternoon or Saturday
Today has already over performed the forecast

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Re: Tropics 2020

We're not done yet. Potential Zeta

IMAGE(<a href="https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2387963be3b4133a34bfe76d3e17b6695f0085347edac0a4535ae2a88a767f2d.gif" rel="nofollow">https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/2387963be3b4133a34bfe76d3e17b6695f0085347edac0a4535ae2a88a767f2d.gif</a>)

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Re: Tropics 2020

Lining up on us. Not unusual for storms this time of year to make sharper hooks when they encounter a front ie more towards Pensacola landfall.

Thursday/Friday Atlanta. btw, Zeta was upgraded to a hurricane after this graphic was done.

IMAGE(<a href="https://yaleclimateconnections.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/1020_Fig2_zeta-GEFS-oct26.png" rel="nofollow">https://yaleclimateconnections.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/1020_Fig2_zeta-GEFS-oct26.png</a>)

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Re: Tropics 2020

Finally got power back Sunday afternoon. Then read this tonight. 2020 continues on form:

Quote:
Super Typhoon Goni made landfall near Bato, Catanduanes Island, Philippines, at 4:50 a.m. local time on November 1 (4:50 p.m. EDT October 31), with sustained winds of 195 mph and a central pressure of 884 mb, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Goni was the strongest landfalling tropical cyclone in world recorded history, using one-minute average wind speeds from the National Hurricane Center for the Atlantic/northeast Pacific and one-minute average winds from JTWC for the rest of the planet’s ocean basins.

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/11/super-typhoon-goni-slams-into-philippines-as-strongest-landfalling-tropical-cyclone-on-record/

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Re: Tropics 2020

From twitter

Quote:
Sam Lillo @splillo Hurricane Eta deepened from 1005mb to 923mb in 48 hours — a drop of 82mb.

Only three other storms on record in the Atlantic that have deepened the same or more in 2 days:

Andrew, Rita, and Wilma

a reply: And went from a Tropical Storm (70 mph) to Category 4 (150mph) in less than 24 hours

Ugh...

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Re: Tropics 2020

"Theta forms in the Atlantic, breaking record as 29th named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season
And a disturbance in the eastern Caribbean may soon develop into the 30th named storm."

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/11/theta-forms-in-the-atlantic-breaking-record-as-29th-named-storm/

Quote:
A record many thought unassailable has fallen: the Atlantic named storm record of 28 storms in a season, set during the hellish hurricane season of 2005. On Monday night, the ridiculously prolific 2020 hurricane season spawned its 29th named storm, Subtropical Storm Theta, beating the old record from 2005. There is still plenty of time for 2020 to add to its record tally, and a tropical wave in the Caribbean is likely to become the 30th named storm of the season, Tropical Storm Iota, by this weekend. The average tally of Atlantic named storms in a season is just 12.

IMAGE(<a href="https://yaleclimateconnections.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/1120_Fig1_lillo-29-storms.png" rel="nofollow">https://yaleclimateconnections.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/1120_Fig1_lillo-29-storms.png</a>)

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Re: Tropics 2020

Iota is spooling up in warm water Shok

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Re: Tropics 2020

Eta bothered someone in Naples yesterday. They'd wanted to golf with a cart but were told they would have to walk the course instead

IMAGE(<a href="https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmoB2H2XcAEWGlv?format=jpg&name=medium" rel="nofollow">https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmoB2H2XcAEWGlv?format=jpg&name=medium</a>)

source: https://twitter.com/MattDevittWINK/status/1326875263947436032

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