Thursday Jan 23

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webguy
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Joined: 12/31/2000 - 22:01
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Thursday Jan 23

East tomorrow afternoon looks interesting

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Randy
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Joined: 05/05/2002 - 10:38
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Re: Thursday Jan 23

Our recent discussion of the wind shadow at KGVL has a bearing on the NOAA (and probably other) forecasts. The interesting thing is hourly model for KGVL shows the typical easterly pattern - wind dies at noon. However, if you move the center of the of the forecast zone to a more interesting place (on the west side of the lake right off of 400....) the dots last all day.

What happens in a black hole stays in a black hole.

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Joined: 05/05/2002 - 10:38
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Re: Thursday Jan 23

Here is the west side forecast. Be interesting to know how far the KGVL wind shadow extends to the west. I suppose it is possible the models are considering things like wind increasing over water, or other micro-meteorological effects. However, I suspect it is influenced a lot by the data and modeling the data wind shadow and all.

What happens in a black hole stays in a black hole.

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webguy
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Re: Thursday Jan 23

Just looked at the radar. Sleet in G'ville. Plus more rain on the way. I'll just go back and watch Chris's video a dozen more times and foil vicariously.

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Barrett
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Joined: 12/23/2003 - 23:07
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Re: Thursday Jan 23

Saturday afternoon looks dry with better wind, so I'll also wait for better conditions.

Concerning East wind forecasts for Lake Lanier: I believe the forecast is based on reading from official wind gages. The Gainesville Airport wind gage is shadowed for East wind, and the local forecast is based on readings from the gage. My experience is East wind at Lake Lanier is stronger than what the gage reports and, consequently what is forecast.

Barrett

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