Chances of something developing to the south of us have bumped up to 60%. IIRC, the first name in line is Alberto. So far, models are in great disagreement on possible outcomes with paths anywhere from Texas to out to the Atlantic.

It's a good thing Barrett got back from OBX, otherwise, his lawn would have turned into a jungle with this rain.

More weather weirdness: the Arabian Sea is about to get blasted by a hurricane Cat 2 cyclone, the second in a couple of weeks. This refers to TC Sagar which hit last week:

Quote:

Somalia's strongest and westernmost tropical cyclone on record

Since the advent of satellite monitoring in the 1960s, only two other tropical cyclones have been observed to make it into the western Gulf of Aden:

• Cyclone Megh, which passed just north of the northern tip of Somalia as a Category 1 cyclone and made landfall as a tropical depression in Yemen in November 2015

• Tropical Cyclone 1A, which reached western Somalia at weak tropical storm strength in May 1984

Only five other tropical cyclones are known to have hit Somalia since accurate satellite measurements began in 1966: Tropical Cyclone ARB02 of 2016, Tropical Cyclone ARB01 of 2013 (the nation’s deadliest cyclone on record, with at least 162 fatalities), Tropical Cyclone Murjan of 2012, Tropical Cyclone ARB02 of 1994, and Tropical Cyclone 4B of 1984. Notably, all five of these were post-monsoon (autumn) cyclones rather than springtime systems, and all of them struck the east coast of Somalia rather than its north coast.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/sagar-pounds-somalia-new-cyclone-may-threaten-oman